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Does
Selling in U.S. Dollars Avoid Foreign Exchange Risk?
By
Fernand Kong
Senior Vice President & Manager, Foreign Exchange, Silicon Valley
Bank
Selling to overseas
buyers is complicated business and can appear overwhelming when
considerations such as cross border credit, political and regulatory
risk become part of the equation. In a post 9/11 world we have more
concerns and volatility than we did before. Despite these factors,
companies cannot ignore the prospect of selling product to customers
who happen to be located overseas and want to purchase or license
your product. We have clients whose early or even initial sales
volume is generated from overseas customers. Whether significant
additional sales revenue of existing product or critical early sales
volume of a new product, such opportunities should not be missed.
Considering these issues, it is not surprising that companies seek
to avoid the additional complication of sales denominated in foreign
currencies such as the euro, yen or British pound to name a few.
Many presume
that pricing in U.S. dollar terms eliminates the risks associated
with the volatility and convertibility of the exchange rate between
currencies. However, billing an overseas buyer in U.S. dollars merely
passes the exposure to the buyer, and it does not change the fact
that a transaction is booked in the currency of one party, but is
a foreign currency to the other. Put another way, every international
transaction has foreign exchange risk. When the burden of hedging
foreign exchange risk is put to the buyer, the exporter loses control
of the final price. If the importer does not manage this exposure
and if the dollar appreciates significantly, the final cost of purchase
will increase and result in an unattractive final cost of purchase.
In a competitive
world, a U.S. company could very well bid against local competition
using the buyer's own currency or a competitor from any other country
that is willing to price in the importer's currency. Companies can
also encounter situations where the only choice is to price in the
buyer's currency or not lose the sale.
The good news
is that the transactional risk of denominating a sale or multiple
sales in a foreign currency can be managed. There are a variety
of techniques that can be used to hedge some or all of the exposure
and there are strategies to protect companies from the downside
of a negative change in cross currency rates that still enable the
company to benefit from an exchange rate that moves in its favor.
Let's take a hypothetical transaction and introduce you to some
of the hedging tools that can be used to manage this risk.
Our hypothetical
company, Super Software Inc. is about to enter into a contract to
sell a software license valued at $500,000 to Enterprise, GMBH in
Germany. The buyer wants to pay in 180 days and it wants to be billed
in euros. The current, or "spot," rate is $1.1670 equals
1.0000 euro. But what will that spot rate be in six months? When
Super Software enters into the contract with Enterprise, GMBH it
will be in a net long position of EUR 428,449 (based on today's
spot rate), which will last until the euros are received in six
months and converted to a U.S. base currency or until it is offset
by means of a hedge. Until then, Super Software Inc. is vulnerable
to changing values between the euro and the U.S. dollar. For the
first six months of 2003, the euro appreciated over 10% against
the U.S. dollar. From mid-year 2002 to mid-year 2003 the euro rose
over 20%. Super Software does not want to be exposed to that type
of volatility and would like to lock in its U.S. dollar profit margin.
Below are the most common types of hedging tools that Super Software
could use:
Natural
Offset
When a long
or short position is created by a transaction, such as the Super
Software euro currency sale to Germany, a natural offset will occur
if there are business outflows in euros to counter the long position
created by the sale. For example, if Super Software had an upcoming
obligation to pay EUR 430,000 to an equipment supplier or an outside
vendor, which would reduce or eliminate the foreign exchange risk
created by the sale, there would be a natural offset. In this example,
the company would not have to do anything, and it has hedged its
position in the normal course of business. Frequently, software
companies will have recurring payments overseas to fund subsidiaries
or software development teams. Thus, billing in these local currencies
would offset the foreign exchange exposure that exists in these
current and future payment streams. The monthly transfer of a fixed
amount of yen to fund a Japanese subsidiary that starts out in February
at $100,000 per month can be a significantly different amount in
March -- let alone by the end of the year. As international business
becomes more extensive, companies can utilize such natural offset
strategies as leading and lagging receipts or payments to manage
their foreign exchange exposure. Here, the company should have a
good forecast of upcoming currency cash flow.
Forward
Foreign Exchange Contract
This is probably
the most common instrument used to offset the risk of exposure in
international trade transactions. Here two parties agree to exchange
a fixed amount of foreign currency into another on a fixed date
in the future and at a fixed price or rate. There will be no exchange
of currencies until the maturity of the contract. In our example,
Super Software could sell EUR 430,000 to its bank at a forward rate
of EUR 1.1600 with settlement in 180 days. At this rate Super Software
would receive $498,800 from its bank into its account at maturity
and instruct Enterprise GMBH pay its EUR 430,000 obligation into
an account specified by Super Software's bank, per the terms of
the forward foreign exchange contract.
Wait a minute!
What happened to the $500,000? Did it really cost $1,200.00 to lock
in the rate that was provided by the bank? Banks usually do not
charge a fee to lock in a forward rate. The forward outright rate
(1.1600) is made up of two parts: the spot rate (1.1670.) and the
forward premium or discount (-0.0070). In this case, the discount
of 0.0070 is driven by the interest rate differential between the
higher yielding EUR and the lower yielding US$ expressed in exchange
rate points. In general, sellers of EUR would earn extra interest
income if the seller holds on to the higher yielding EUR and delivers
on a later date. To compensate for the extra interest earned by
holding on to EUR instead of US$, the seller has to sell at a forward
discount to reflect the interest rate differential earned during
the same period. If this discount does not equal the interest rate
differential between the two currencies, there will be arbitrage
opportunity, which, in a market as perfect as the foreign exchange
market, can only exist for a flashing moment.
Thus, it is
not the perceived future strength or weakness of the currency that
causes a currency to trade at forward premium or discount. It is
all driven by the interest rate differential between the two currencies.
A higher yield currency (EUR) will be sold or bought at a discount
versus a lower yield currency (US$). In our example, one might argue
that Super Software does not hold any EUR to earn that interest
differential to compensate the $1,200 forward discount. But in practice,
Super Software would have factored into its pricing or would negotiate
extended payment terms taking into consideration of any unfavorable
discount or premium.
Forward
Window Contract
A forward window
contract is a forward foreign exchange contract that has a more
flexible settlement date. While the basic forward contract has a
specified date of maturity or settlement, the Window contract is
set to provide flexibility regarding the specific date within a
range. In our example, Super Software is due to receive its EUR
430,000.00 on January 15th from its German customer. However, it
wants to have the flexibility of settling the foreign exchange contract
in a range from January 12th through January 16th. This flexibility
is accommodated in the rate provided by the Forward Window Contract.
Foreign
Currency Option
An active market
exists for the purchase and sale of foreign currency options. Thus,
Super Software could hedge its downside risk by purchasing a euro
foreign currency option. The buyer of an option pays an up front
premium to have the right -- but not obligation -- to transact a
spot foreign exchange at the set rate at some future date, per the
terms of the contract. Use of an option allows Super Software to
hedge some or all of its downside risk, but also enables the company
to benefit if the euro becomes stronger against the dollar. In this
case, Super Software allows the option to expire without exercising
it and receives the higher dollar amount when it converts the incoming
euros to dollars when the German buyer makes payment under terms
of the sale. So, if the spot rate at the outset of the export was
$1.1670 = EUR 1.0000 and the company purchased a euro Put option
to have a right to sell the euros at a future date for the same
spot exchange rate, it hedged its downside. If the euro strengthens
to $1.1800 = EUR 1.0000, Super Software could let the option expire
and receive $507,400 when it converts the incoming euros at the
higher prevailing exchange rate instead of the original $500,000,
if it exercised the option. Unlike a forward foreign exchange contract
there is a specific cost or premium paid by the buyer of the option.
This cost is frequently a deterrent to companies seeking to hedge
foreign exchange exposure. We should note that currency option users
frequently use multiple options in the context of a well-developed
foreign exchange management strategy.
Foreign
Currency Loans
Since the long
position in euros created by the sale to Germany is an asset (Account
Receivable) until it is paid, the company could offset that asset
and related exposure by creating a counter liability. Super Software
could borrow about EUR 430,000 and invest the proceeds in an interest
bearing account. When the German customer makes payment, Super Software
could repay the loan without entering into any foreign currency
transaction. Issues to consider are the arrangement and terms of
the loan facility and the legal and credit costs. This type of exposure
management is most suitable for companies with extensive foreign
activities or investment.
Other
Befitting the
vast scope of the global foreign exchange and other financial markets
it is not surprising that a wide array of other hedging strategies
and instruments can be used to manage foreign exchange exposure.
Examples of such instruments include "synthetic forwards"
using spot rates, zero cost options, participating forwards and
collars, to name a few. These vehicles tend to be more complicated
and utilized by larger companies with active treasury management
personnel and are worthy of more extensive discussion.
Revenue generation
is the life-blood of the business enterprise. Sales to companies
outside our borders contribute to, and in many cases can be the
driver of, a company's success. When dealing with foreign customers
there are added issues and considerations. Fortunately, the question
of foreign exchange exposure can be managed in a number of ways
to stimulate sales, protect margins and manage risk.

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